Domestic Uranium Industry to Mine 20 Million Pounds in 6 years, Part Two
By: James Finch | Posted: 25th July 2006
The Uranium Producers of America (UPA) was formed more than twenty years ago. Over the years, this trade association worked with Congress and state legislators to help improve the front end of the nuclear fuel cycle: uranium mining. Today, it has been re-energized with new members and with the task of helping to rebuild the U.S. uranium mining sector. We talked with Jon Indall, an attorney based in Santa Fe, New Mexico, who serves as the Executive Director of the UPA.
Uranium Producers of America members include International Uranium Corporation, Power Resources, Uranium Resources, Cotter Corporation, Energy Metals Corporation, Mestena Uranium, U.S. Energy, Laramide Resources, Strathmore Minerals, Uranium Energy and Neutron Energy.
StockInterview: Where do the U.S. utilities stand with regards to a domestic uranium industry?
Jon Indall: In the late 1980s and early 1990s, I think the utilities saw Canada as such a big production center, they lost interest in the domestic producers. They were not too worried about having enough fuel coming in.
StockInterview: But, hasn't the industry changed over the past few years, as the spot uranium price has soared?
Jon Indall: If you read the trade press and everything else, you can see, with the impetus that's going on in Asia and all the reactors that are under construction or planned, I think the utilities have to understand that security of supply is something they need to pay attention to. It's on our agenda to start talking to the utilities a little bit more seriously. Even though you can get this material from other places, it's nice to have a local producer. It's fairly apparent this industry, in the next four to five years, could be producing in the range of 20 million pounds.
StockInterview: Do you believe the domestic uranium industry can produce twenty million pounds over the next four to five years?
Jon Indall: Conservatively, five to six years, but maybe even sooner. Well, let me put it this way: We're producing roughly 3 million pounds now. That's up from two. I could be off by a factor of a few hundred thousand. Power Resources is producing roughly 2 million pounds. With the Uranium Resources production that's come on in Texas, and with Mestena, you've got about another million pounds or so. IUC has just announced that they're going to produce 3.5 million pounds, I think, over the next two years. Some of that is material they're cleaning up for DOE, but it is still production. All the UPA members have plans to be in production at some point.
StockInterview: Yes, but doesn't it take five to eleven years to get the production underway?
Jon Indall: I think eleven years is too far out. I think, if the companies can get with it, you can see four or five In Situ Recovery (ISR) operations producing one to two million pounds apiece. And then maybe somebody gets a conventional mine going here again, like IUC is doing. I can't tell you the exact number, but I think you'll see increased production, assuming that the price continues to rise or stabilize.
StockInterview: How are the uranium companies going to move that fast?
Jon Indall: I think a lot of it, in my mind, is how well the regulatory community accepts what these guys are trying to do. My impression is – and this is just me talking – that a lot of the communities, where this activity has been undertaken before, are not averse to seeing it again. It means good jobs and that type of thing. A lot of these communities are sort of depressed communities. For example in New Mexico, McKinley County is one of the lowest counties in the state economically. I think the average guy out there would welcome the opportunity to see some high paying jobs.
StockInterview: How well would the regulatory community in New Mexico react?
Jon Indall: I recently met with the New Mexico Mining Minerals Division. Since we passed the New Mexico Mining Act in 1993, no one has permitted a mine in New Mexico. We were talking about how we were going to do this. Obviously it's not going to happen tomorrow.
StockInterview: What about senior state officials, such as the Governor of New Mexico?
Jon Indall: I can tell you the New Mexico governor was extremely supportive of the uranium miners when he was in Congress. He introduced legislation supporting our efforts in those days, and some of it he did on his own. He's got a big state to govern, and I think he's looking for jobs. I think if we can show him that we can do this better than we did in the past, then he'll be supportive. That's my hope.
StockInterview: Will the major oil or mining companies return to the uranium industry?
Jon Indall: I don't anticipate the big oil companies coming in again for some time. BHP Billiton initially said, 'We have no interest in uranium mining in New Mexico.' Then they turned around and bought the biggest property in Australia. Now I understand BHP is looking hard at their New Mexico operations. So you might see some of the big mining companies involved.
StockInterview: Who, then, will build up the domestic uranium industry?
Jon Indall: I think it may be more entrepreneurial, which was the way it started back in the 1950s. The early producers, with the exception of Kerr McGee, were individuals – Charlie Steen, Dick Bokum, and Cotter Ferguson in Wyoming. They were the people who really got this industry up and going, with AEC assistance. I am not sure the oil companies are that critical, but I would like to see utilities get into the mix. I think it all depends on how supply and demand is perceived.
James Finch contributes to StockInterview.com and other publications. Visit www.stockinterview.com to download your free copy of "Investing in the Great Uranium Bull Market: A Practical Investor's Guide to Uranium Stocks." You can always write to James Finch at jfinch@stockinterview.com
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James Finch is a contributing editor for StockInterview.com and other publications. http://www.stockinterview.com
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